With baseball season in full swing, many fans are already locked into a friendly competition (we hope) to see who can create the best team in a Fantasy Baseball League. By now, some may be looking to swap out a few players to improve their odds of winning.
How? With numbers.
In this chart, the JESS3 team has predicted which of the top 300 players will dominate the league by Z-score, a normalized ratings system that, when applied to baseball, is based on the number of home runs, runs, runs batted in, stolen bases, and the batting average for each player.
Explained Simon Steinhardt, associate creative director of editorial at JESS3, in a blog post: “The real story, though, is in the top 10 players: Miguel Cabrera, who last year became the first player since 1967 to win the Triple Crown, is only projected to have the third-best stats, mainly because of his negative Z-score for stolen bases. Giancarlo Stanton may be the presumed home run king, but because he doesn’t contribute as much in other areas he’s ZiPS’ number six overall. And who’s the fantasy MVP? The Z-scores tell us it’s the man whom many people thought should have beaten Cabrera for the real MVP trophy last year: Mike Trout.”